Projected Income Statement: Essity AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 55,433 62,869 53,703 30,769 26,543 29,029 26,162 22,437
Change - 13.41% -14.58% -42.71% -13.73% 9.37% -9.88% -14.24%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 7,358 6,949 6,850 7,396 7,090 7,902 8,050 7,968
Change - -5.56% -1.42% 7.97% -4.14% 11.46% 1.87% -1.01%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 7,309 5,925 12,227 9,773 8,369 10,678 12,026 13,146
Change - -18.94% 106.36% -20.07% -14.37% 27.59% 12.62% 9.31%
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Essity AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 16.44% 13.06% 17.01% 18.22% 18.57% 17.6% 17.94% 18.46%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.53% 7.65% 12.09% 13.22% 13.38% 12.18% 12.85% 13.35%
EBT Margin (%) 10.29% 5.19% 8.69% 11.24% 12.39% 11.12% 12.13% 12.77%
Net margin (%) 7.07% 3.56% 6.49% 14.35% 9.14% 8.23% 8.92% 9.43%
FCF margin (%) 6% 3.79% 8.31% 6.71% 6.04% 7.56% 8.17% 8.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) 84.79% 106.43% 127.98% 46.79% 66.13% 91.92% 91.59% 92.59%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.23% 2.89% 4.62% 10.76% 7.18% 7.07% 7.36% 7.81%
ROE 15% 8.1% 12.5% 13.4% 15.2% 13.96% 14.22% 14.34%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 2.77x 3.08x 2.15x 1.16x 1.03x 1.17x 0.99x 0.81x
Debt / Free cash flow 7.58x 10.61x 4.39x 3.15x 3.17x 2.72x 2.18x 1.71x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 6.04% 4.45% 4.66% 5.08% 5.12% 5.6% 5.47% 5.29%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 36.72% 34.08% 27.37% 27.89% 27.56% 31.8% 30.5% 28.66%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 100.67% 117.28% 56.02% 75.68% 84.72% 74% 66.94% 60.62%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 20.89 18.33 27.16 24.52 22.44 26.05 29.05 31.74
Change - -12.26% 48.18% -9.74% -8.48% 16.11% 11.52% 9.25%
Dividend per Share 1 7 7.25 7.75 8.25 8.75 9.17 9.734 10.27
Change - 3.57% 6.9% 6.45% 6.06% 4.8% 6.15% 5.53%
Book Value Per Share 1 85.29 95.89 100.9 126.1 124.3 135.7 145.1 156.7
Change - 12.42% 5.2% 25.01% -1.45% 9.18% 6.94% 7.98%
EPS 1 12.27 7.93 13.6 29.83 18.37 17.14 19.57 21.24
Change - -35.37% 71.5% 119.34% -38.42% -6.72% 14.23% 8.52%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 7,02,342 7,02,342 7,02,342 6,94,998 6,83,049 6,77,842 6,77,842 6,77,842
Announcement Date 26/01/22 26/01/23 25/01/24 23/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 15.1x 13.2x
PBR 1.91x 1.79x
EV / Sales 1.45x 1.37x
Yield 3.54% 3.75%

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
HOLD
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
259.30SEK
Average target price
270.53SEK
Spread / Average Target
+4.33%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise