Projected Income Statement: EssilorLuxottica

Forecast Balance Sheet: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 9,698 7,063 5,859 10,970 10,850 9,935 9,096 8,024
Change - -27.17% -17.05% 87.23% -1.09% -8.43% -8.44% -11.79%
Announcement Date 11/03/22 23/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 1,030 1,572 1,531 1,520 1,525 1,657 1,807 1,890
Change - 52.62% -2.61% -0.72% 0.33% 8.67% 9.03% 4.6%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,792 2,260 3,330 2,400 2,796 3,822 4,219 4,672
Change - -19.05% 47.35% -27.93% 16.5% 36.68% 10.4% 10.73%
Announcement Date 11/03/22 23/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: EssilorLuxottica

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 27.69% 28.93% 28.16% 28.34% 22.79% 23.63% 23.81% 23.71%
EBIT Margin (%) 15.27% 16.8% 16.45% 16.65% 15.65% 15.56% 15.93% 16.23%
EBT Margin (%) 11.1% 12.38% 11.95% 12.42% 11.21% 11.6% 12.34% 12.75%
Net margin (%) 7.38% 8.79% 9.01% 8.9% 8.13% 8.62% 9.07% 9.65%
FCF margin (%) 14.09% 9.23% 13.11% 9.05% 9.81% 12.29% 12.23% 12.49%
FCF / Net Income (%) 190.84% 105.02% 145.48% 101.74% 120.78% 142.68% 134.74% 129.38%

Profitability

        
ROA 3.69% 4.77% 4.87% 5% 4.93% 5.05% 5.55% 5.97%
ROE 6.11% 7.89% 7.65% 7.94% 7.97% 8.62% 9.68% 10.69%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.77x 1x 0.82x 1.46x 1.67x 1.35x 1.11x 0.9x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.47x 3.13x 1.76x 4.57x 3.88x 2.6x 2.16x 1.72x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.2% 6.42% 6.03% 5.73% 5.35% 5.33% 5.24% 5.05%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.77% 22.19% 21.41% 20.23% 23.49% 22.56% 21.99% 21.31%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 36.89% 69.56% 45.98% 63.33% 54.54% 43.36% 42.83% 40.46%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 10.2 10.73 10.78 10.6 11.39 12.33 13.91 14.57
Change - 5.19% 0.48% -1.75% 7.47% 8.27% 12.87% 4.73%
Dividend per Share 1 2.51 3.23 3.95 3.95 4 4.203 4.708 4.743
Change - 28.69% 22.29% 0% 1.27% 5.07% 12.01% 0.75%
Book Value Per Share 1 80.18 84.11 86.28 87.77 83.69 87.33 90.79 93.58
Change - 4.89% 2.58% 1.73% -4.65% 4.35% 3.96% 3.08%
EPS 1 3.28 4.83 5.08 5.13 4.98 5.743 6.77 7.786
Change - 47.26% 5.18% 0.98% -2.92% 15.32% 17.89% 15%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,41,185 4,44,659 4,51,334 4,55,759 4,63,045 4,59,725 4,59,725 4,59,725
Announcement Date 11/03/22 23/02/23 14/02/24 12/02/25 11/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 30.3x 25.7x
PBR 1.99x 1.92x
EV / Sales 2.9x 2.58x
Yield 2.41% 2.7%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
23
Last Close Price
174.20EUR
Average target price
286.30EUR
Spread / Average Target
+64.35%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. EL Stock
  4. Financials EssilorLuxottica