Projected Income Statement: Constellium

Forecast Balance Sheet: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 1,982 1,891 1,664 1,697 1,544 1,379 1,068 530
Change - -4.59% -12% 1.98% -9.02% -10.67% -22.55% -50.37%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 232 273 337 394.7 279.3 288.4 286.8 284
Change - 17.67% 23.44% 17.11% -29.24% 3.27% -0.57% -0.95%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 125 182 170 -95.56 150.6 338.2 372.5 332.1
Change - 45.6% -6.59% -156.21% 257.64% 124.5% 10.16% -10.84%
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1EUR in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Constellium

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 9.44% 8.29% 9.85% 8.47% 10.01% 9.97% 9.13% 9.69%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.1% 4.11% 4.66% 3.34% 6.12% 8.02% 5.96% 6.31%
EBT Margin (%) 5.15% 2.5% 2.71% 1.84% 4.83% 7.27% 4.97% 5.48%
Net margin (%) 4.18% 3.71% 1.73% 0.76% 3.23% 5.2% 3.49% 3.59%
FCF margin (%) 2.03% 2.24% 2.35% -1.36% 2.11% 3.75% 4.11% 3.72%
FCF / Net Income (%) 48.64% 60.47% 136% -178.57% 65.26% 72.13% 117.79% 103.81%

Profitability

        
ROA 5.87% 6.29% 3.45% 1.16% 5.41% 9.11% 6.52% -
ROE 329.51% 57.72% 21.07% 7.87% 32.93% 44.85% 24.02% 20.19%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 3.41x 2.81x 2.33x 2.85x 2.16x 1.53x 1.29x 0.61x
Debt / Free cash flow 15.86x 10.39x 9.79x -17.76x 10.25x 4.08x 2.87x 1.6x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.77% 3.36% 4.66% 5.62% 3.91% 3.2% 3.16% 3.18%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 39.93% 40.56% 47.27% 66.29% 39.04% 32.09% 34.68% 32.88%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 185.6% 150% 198.24% -413% 185.39% 85.28% 76.97% 85.52%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.426 3.076 3.391 1.943 2.916 4.313 4.53 -
Change - 26.82% 10.22% -42.68% 50.03% 47.93% 5.02% -
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 1.93 5.066 5.742 4.391 5.768 8.651 10.9 13.83
Change - 162.48% 13.34% -23.52% 31.36% 49.97% 26.05% 26.86%
EPS 1 1.75 2.06 0.84 0.3631 1.623 3.369 2.246 2.394
Change - 17.71% -59.22% -56.77% 347.05% 107.52% -33.33% 6.59%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,41,677 1,44,302 1,46,820 1,46,266 1,37,802 1,35,528 1,35,528 1,35,528
Announcement Date 23/02/22 22/02/23 21/02/24 20/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1EUR
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.98x 10.5x
PBR 2.72x 2.16x
EV / Sales 0.51x 0.47x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend



Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
23.53EUR
Average target price
32.47EUR
Spread / Average Target
+38.01%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise