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End-of-day quote
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 4.490 CNY | -0.88% |
|
+3.70% | -17.01% |
| 21/07 | China Railway Bags 56 Billion Yuan Projects | MT |
| 24/06 | Zimbabwe exploring minerals-backed deals with China to fund infrastructure, minister says | RE |
Company Valuation: China Railway Group Limited
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Market Cap 1 | 1,32,027 | 1,29,563 | 1,29,985 | 1,46,872 | 1,25,156 | 1,04,224 | - | - |
| Change | - | -1.87% | 0.33% | 12.99% | -14.79% | -16.72% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 2,65,041 | 2,80,201 | 3,63,798 | 4,09,704 | 4,46,245 | 4,75,988 | 5,36,959 | 5,73,634 |
| Change | - | 5.72% | 29.83% | 12.62% | 8.92% | 6.67% | 12.81% | 6.83% |
| P/E | 5.58x | 4.64x | 4.4x | 5.89x | 6.38x | 5.15x | 4.87x | 4.73x |
| PBR | 0.52x | 0.54x | 0.42x | 0.45x | 0.36x | 0.28x | 0.27x | 0.26x |
| PEG | - | 0.3x | 0.56x | -0.4x | -0.3x | 1.78x | 0.86x | 1.65x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 0.12x | 0.11x | 0.1x | 0.13x | 0.11x | 0.1x | 0.1x | 0.1x |
| EV / Revenue | 0.25x | 0.24x | 0.29x | 0.35x | 0.41x | 0.44x | 0.5x | 0.53x |
| EV / EBITDA | 5.43x | 5.17x | 5.99x | 6.99x | 9.4x | 7.39x | 7.77x | 7.73x |
| EV / EBIT | 7x | 6.56x | 7.71x | 9.5x | 13.5x | 15.6x | 12x | 13.6x |
| EV / FCF | -5.05x | -17.3x | -10x | -15x | -15.1x | -20.5x | -33.9x | 47.5x |
| FCF Yield | -19.8% | -5.78% | -9.97% | -6.67% | -6.6% | -4.89% | -2.95% | 2.11% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | 0.196 | 0.2 | 0.21 | 0.178 | 0.086 | 0.2 | 0.1893 | 0.1948 |
| Rate of return | 3.39% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.79% | 1.59% | 4.45% | 4.22% | 4.34% |
| EPS 2 | 1.037 | 1.198 | 1.292 | 1.084 | 0.848 | 0.8725 | 0.9222 | 0.9486 |
| Distribution rate | 18.9% | 16.7% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 10.1% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 20.5% |
| Net sales 1 | 10,73,272 | 11,54,349 | 12,63,412 | 11,60,311 | 10,90,626 | 10,91,649 | 10,70,858 | 10,72,993 |
| EBITDA 1 | 48,771 | 54,198 | 60,731 | 58,649 | 47,463 | 64,396 | 69,136 | 74,174 |
| EBIT 1 | 37,845 | 42,700 | 47,171 | 43,142 | 33,146 | 30,594 | 44,611 | 42,298 |
| Net income 1 | 27,618 | 31,276 | 33,483 | 27,887 | 22,892 | 24,061 | 23,374 | 23,434 |
| Net Debt 1 | 1,33,014 | 1,50,639 | 2,33,813 | 2,62,832 | 3,21,090 | 3,71,763 | 4,32,734 | 4,69,410 |
| Reference price 2 | 5.790 | 5.560 | 5.680 | 6.390 | 5.410 | 4.490 | 4.490 | 4.490 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 2,45,70,929 | 2,47,52,196 | 2,47,52,196 | 2,47,41,865 | 2,46,64,838 | 2,45,31,310 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 30/03/22 | 30/03/23 | 28/03/24 | 28/03/25 | 30/03/26 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
P/E, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.19x | 0.44x | 7.4x | 4.42% | 1.55TCr | ||
| 65.47x | 2.83x | 27.68x | 0.07% | 9.49TCr | ||
| 13.14x | 1.06x | 5.83x | 4.47% | 7.13TCr | ||
| 39.68x | 4.86x | 26.95x | 0.17% | 6.02TCr | ||
| 25.43x | 1.95x | 18.89x | 1.22% | 5.48TCr | ||
| 55.26x | 4.6x | 29.38x | 1.67% | 4.58TCr | ||
| 33.15x | 0.78x | 13.15x | 1.91% | 3.92TCr | ||
| 27.69x | 0.54x | 8.62x | 2.16% | 3.54TCr | ||
| 25.39x | 1.65x | 15.85x | 0.19% | 3.31TCr | ||
| 4.79x | 0.3x | 5.8x | 5.95% | 2.84TCr | ||
| Average | 29.52x | 1.90x | 15.95x | 2.22% | 4.78TCr | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 35.11x | 2.24x | 18.12x | 1.83% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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- 601390 Stock
- Valuation China Railway Group Limited
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