Projected Income Statement: China Overseas Property Holdings Limited

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Overseas Property Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 -4,283 -4,691 -5,394 -5,631 -6,935 -7,993 -7,809 -8,800
Change - -9.53% -14.99% -4.39% -23.16% -15.26% 2.3% -12.69%
Announcement Date 24/03/22 23/03/23 26/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Overseas Property Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 122.6 119 154.9 147.4 137.8 128.1 140 148.2
Change - -2.97% 30.22% -4.89% -6.5% -7.01% 9.26% 5.88%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 647 1,092 1,471 1,254 1,184 1,233 1,141 1,137
Change - 68.75% 34.7% -14.73% -5.57% 4.09% -7.4% -0.4%
Announcement Date 24/03/22 23/03/23 26/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1HKD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Overseas Property Holdings Limited

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.55% 12.93% 13.53% 14.24% 12.97% 12.25% 12.28% 12.36%
EBIT Margin (%) 12.85% 12.25% 12.89% 13.51% 12.21% 11.76% 11.69% 11.64%
EBT Margin (%) 13.96% 13.23% 13.82% 14.33% 12.22% 12.15% 12.12% 12.13%
Net margin (%) 10.42% 10.03% 10.29% 10.77% 9.14% 9.1% 9.08% 9.08%
FCF margin (%) 6.85% 8.6% 10.4% 8.35% 6.99% 6.89% 6.09% 5.73%
FCF / Net Income (%) 65.76% 85.75% 101.06% 77.52% 76.48% 75.72% 67.02% 63.07%

Profitability

        
ROA 13.56% 13.81% 13.76% 13.36% 10.93% 10.2% 9.98% 9.9%
ROE 38.22% 38.51% 36.78% 32.73% 24.94% 22.33% 20.81% 19.6%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.3% 0.94% 1.1% 0.98% 0.81% 0.72% 0.75% 0.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 9.58% 7.26% 8.1% 6.89% 6.27% 5.85% 6.08% 6.04%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 18.96% 10.9% 10.54% 11.75% 11.64% 10.4% 12.27% 13.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.2341 0.3684 0.4946 0.4267 0.4025 0.54 0.5138 0.5956
Change - 57.34% 34.25% -13.73% -5.67% 34.16% -4.84% 15.91%
Dividend per Share 1 0.09 0.12 0.14 0.18 0.19 0.2075 0.2172 0.2344
Change - 33.33% 16.67% 28.57% 5.56% 9.21% 4.7% 7.9%
Book Value Per Share 1 0.9127 1.099 1.359 1.665 2.019 2.328 2.632 2.925
Change - 20.41% 23.66% 22.52% 21.22% 15.33% 13.05% 11.14%
EPS 1 0.2993 0.3873 0.4427 0.4925 0.4714 0.4967 0.5181 0.549
Change - 29.4% 14.29% 11.26% -4.27% 5.36% 4.3% 5.97%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 32,86,860 32,86,860 32,86,860 32,83,960 32,83,960 32,83,960 32,83,960 32,83,960
Announcement Date 24/03/22 23/03/23 26/03/24 27/03/25 26/03/26 - - -
1HKD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 6.64x 6.37x
PBR 1.42x 1.25x
EV / Sales 0.16x 0.16x
Yield 6.29% 6.58%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
14
Last Close Price
3.300HKD
Average target price
4.717HKD
Spread / Average Target
+42.94%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 2669 Stock
  4. Financials China Overseas Property Holdings Limited