Projected Income Statement: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - 1,650 1,640 - - 5,722 6,409 6,812
Change - - -0.61% - - - 12.01% 6.29%
Announcement Date 14/04/22 21/04/23 18/04/24 08/04/25 14/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 283.3 1,001 1,102 1,671 1,270 2,222 1,524 1,400
Change - 253.27% 10.07% 51.65% -23.96% 74.95% -31.42% -8.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,510 - - -662.8 - -779 613 1,098
Change - - - - - - 178.69% 79.12%
Announcement Date 14/04/22 21/04/23 18/04/24 08/04/25 14/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.7% 21.3% 11.04% 8.01% 10.47% 13.09% 13.74% 15.06%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.06% 20% 9.3% 5.58% 8.03% 11.79% 13.19% 13.95%
EBT Margin (%) 22.02% 19.96% 9.35% 5.57% 7.95% 11.62% 13.02% 13.78%
Net margin (%) 16.87% 16.06% 7.08% 3.05% 5.29% 7.94% 8.81% 9.48%
FCF margin (%) 11.54% - - -2.01% - -1.46% 1% 1.58%
FCF / Net Income (%) 68.43% - - -66% - -18.42% 11.32% 16.67%

Profitability

        
ROA 19.29% - 6.15% 2.34% - 8.4% 9.45% 9.8%
ROE 37.28% 34.02% 11.44% 4.57% 9.56% 15.67% 17.37% 18.26%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.21x 0.44x - - 0.82x 0.76x 0.65x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - -7.35x 10.46x 6.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.93% 2.69% 3.29% 5.07% 2.98% 4.17% 2.48% 2.01%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.93% 12.61% 29.8% 63.26% 28.49% 31.86% 18.03% 13.37%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 8.07% - - -252.04% - -285.28% 248.61% 127.47%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.044 1.311 0.6716 0.2837 0.3084 -1.43 4.71 -0.59
Change - 25.59% -48.79% -57.76% 8.71% -563.68% 429.37% -112.53%
Dividend per Share 1 0.445 0.17 0.07 0.035 0.13 0.2254 0.2919 0.3641
Change - -61.8% -58.82% -50% 271.43% 73.38% 29.51% 24.74%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.225 5.486 5.98 6.21 6.822 7.883 9.198 10.75
Change - 29.85% 9.02% 3.84% 9.85% 15.56% 16.68% 16.91%
EPS 1 1.419 1.655 0.6558 0.2778 0.6227 1.172 1.453 1.822
Change - 16.64% -60.38% -57.64% 124.15% 88.25% 23.96% 25.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066
Announcement Date 14/04/22 21/04/23 18/04/24 08/04/25 14/04/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 33.9x 27.4x
PBR 5.05x 4.32x
EV / Sales 2.81x 2.44x
Yield 0.57% 0.73%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
CCC
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
5
Last Close Price
39.78CNY
Average target price
62.53CNY
Spread / Average Target
+57.20%

Annual profits - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Stocks
  3. 600111 Stock
  4. Financials China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd