Projected Income Statement: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Forecast Balance Sheet - China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 - 1,650 1,640 - - 5,722 6,409 6,812
Change - - -0.61% - - - 12.01% 6.29%
Announcement Date 14/04/22 21/04/23 18/04/24 08/04/25 14/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 283.3 1,001 1,102 1,671 1,270 2,189 1,729 1,626
Change - 253.27% 10.07% 51.65% -23.96% 72.34% -21.04% -5.92%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 3,510 - - -662.8 - -779 613 1,098
Change - - - - - - 178.69% 79.12%
Announcement Date 14/04/22 21/04/23 18/04/24 08/04/25 14/04/26 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 23.7% 21.3% 11.04% 8.01% 10.47% 12.47% 13.21% 14.55%
EBIT Margin (%) 22.06% 20% 9.3% 5.58% 8.03% 12.27% 13.22% 14.11%
EBT Margin (%) 22.02% 19.96% 9.35% 5.57% 7.95% 12.01% 13% 13.9%
Net margin (%) 16.87% 16.06% 7.08% 3.05% 5.29% 7.99% 8.87% 9.62%
FCF margin (%) 11.54% - - -2.01% - -1.47% 1.02% 1.62%
FCF / Net Income (%) 68.43% - - -66% - -18.41% 11.45% 16.88%

Profitability

        
ROA 19.29% - 6.15% 2.34% - 8.4% 9.45% 9.8%
ROE 37.28% 34.02% 11.44% 4.57% 9.56% 15.73% 17.25% 18.17%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - 0.21x 0.44x - - 0.87x 0.8x 0.69x
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - -7.35x 10.46x 6.2x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 0.93% 2.69% 3.29% 5.07% 2.98% 4.13% 2.87% 2.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 3.93% 12.61% 29.8% 63.26% 28.49% 33.14% 21.68% 16.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 8.07% - - -252.04% - -281.01% 281.99% 148.11%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 1.044 1.311 0.6716 0.2837 0.3084 -1.43 4.71 -0.59
Change - 25.59% -48.79% -57.76% 8.71% -563.68% 429.37% -112.53%
Dividend per Share 1 0.445 0.17 0.07 0.035 0.13 0.2676 0.3356 0.4133
Change - -61.8% -58.82% -50% 271.43% 105.86% 25.42% 23.14%
Book Value Per Share 1 4.225 5.486 5.98 6.21 6.822 7.879 9.129 10.62
Change - 29.85% 9.02% 3.84% 9.85% 15.5% 15.87% 16.29%
EPS 1 1.419 1.655 0.6558 0.2778 0.6227 1.172 1.453 1.822
Change - 16.64% -60.38% -57.64% 124.15% 88.25% 23.96% 25.35%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066 36,15,066
Announcement Date 14/04/22 21/04/23 18/04/24 08/04/25 14/04/26 - - -
1CNY
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E 30.6x 24.7x
PBR 4.55x 3.93x
EV / Sales 2.56x 2.26x
Yield 0.75% 0.94%

EPS & Dividend

EPS & Dividend - China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd


Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Valuation ratios - P/E - China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd
 

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Valuation ratios - Yield - China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd
Trader
Investor
-
Global
-
Quality
-
ESG MSCI
-
MarketScreener Ratings - China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
6
Last Close Price
35.88CNY
Average target price
58.14CNY
Spread / Average Target
+62.04%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

Rate of surprise - Net sales - Quarterly - China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co.,Ltd
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