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Market Closed -
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 12.98 HKD | -1.22% |
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-1.37% | +4.42% |
| 03/07 | Cathay Pacific to Resume Middle East Passenger Flights in September | MT |
| 02/07 | Cathay Pacific says to resume Middle East passenger services from September | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 45,587 | 51,036 | 94,485 | 1,04,371 | 1,16,766 | 1,28,551 | 1,31,220 | 1,39,558 |
| Change | - | 11.95% | 85.13% | 10.46% | 11.88% | 10.09% | 2.08% | 6.35% |
| EBITDA 1 | 12,336 | 15,735 | 25,323 | 25,236 | 25,643 | 24,622 | 26,217 | 27,898 |
| Change | - | 27.55% | 60.93% | -0.34% | 1.61% | -3.98% | 6.48% | 6.41% |
| EBIT 1 | -450 | 3,546 | 12,999 | 13,177 | 14,073 | 11,923 | 13,394 | 14,880 |
| Change | - | 888% | 266.58% | 1.37% | 6.8% | -15.28% | 12.34% | 11.09% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -2,629 | -2,909 | -2,733 | -3,056 | -2,677 | -2,383 | -2,672 | -2,503 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | -6,057 | -6,040 | 10,858 | 11,203 | 12,310 | 9,397 | 11,312 | 12,819 |
| Change | - | 0.28% | 279.77% | 3.18% | 9.88% | -23.67% | 20.38% | 13.32% |
| Net income 1 | -6,123 | -7,162 | 9,067 | 9,607 | 10,828 | 8,852 | 10,364 | 11,098 |
| Change | - | -16.97% | 226.6% | 5.96% | 12.71% | -18.25% | 17.09% | 7.09% |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/22 | 08/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 12/03/25 | 11/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 89,854 | 58,829 | 52,764 | 57,941 | 46,812 | 44,398 | 40,664 | 37,392 |
| Change | - | -34.53% | -10.31% | 9.81% | -19.21% | -5.16% | -8.41% | -8.05% |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/22 | 08/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 12/03/25 | 11/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 2,276 | 3,729 | 6,801 | 9,207 | 9,830 | 10,317 | 15,567 | 18,859 |
| Change | - | 63.84% | 82.38% | 35.38% | 6.77% | 4.96% | 50.88% | 21.15% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 6,559 | 14,107 | 19,607 | 14,334 | 15,551 | 11,397 | 17,426 | 19,634 |
| Change | - | 115.08% | 38.99% | -26.89% | 8.49% | -26.71% | 52.89% | 12.67% |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/22 | 08/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 12/03/25 | 11/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Cathay Pacific Airways Limited
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 27.06% | 30.83% | 26.8% | 24.18% | 21.96% | 19.15% | 19.98% | 19.99% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | -0.99% | 6.95% | 13.76% | 12.63% | 12.05% | 9.27% | 10.21% | 10.66% |
| EBT Margin (%) | -13.29% | -11.83% | 11.49% | 10.73% | 10.54% | 7.31% | 8.62% | 9.19% |
| Net margin (%) | -13.43% | -14.03% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.27% | 6.89% | 7.9% | 7.95% |
| FCF margin (%) | 14.39% | 27.64% | 20.75% | 13.73% | 13.32% | 8.87% | 13.28% | 14.07% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | -107.12% | -196.97% | 216.25% | 149.2% | 143.62% | 128.76% | 168.14% | 176.91% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | -3.05% | -3.79% | 5.11% | 5.56% | 6.22% | 5.05% | 5.79% | 5.77% |
| ROE | -8.42% | -10.52% | 14.64% | 17.08% | 19.23% | 14.3% | 16.07% | 15.86% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 7.28x | 3.74x | 2.08x | 2.3x | 1.83x | 1.8x | 1.55x | 1.34x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 13.7x | 4.17x | 2.69x | 4.04x | 3.01x | 3.9x | 2.33x | 1.9x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 4.99% | 7.31% | 7.2% | 8.82% | 8.42% | 8.03% | 11.86% | 13.51% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 18.45% | 23.7% | 26.86% | 36.48% | 38.33% | 41.9% | 59.38% | 67.6% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 34.7% | 26.43% | 34.69% | 64.23% | 63.21% | 90.52% | 89.33% | 96.05% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 1.37 | 2.771 | 3.571 | 3.188 | 3.774 | 3.024 | 3.592 | 4.005 |
| Change | - | 102.25% | 28.88% | -10.72% | 18.4% | -19.9% | 18.81% | 11.5% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | - | - | 0.43 | 0.69 | 0.84 | 0.6697 | 0.8058 | 0.8767 |
| Change | - | - | - | 60.47% | 21.74% | -20.27% | 20.31% | 8.8% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 11.22 | 9.923 | 8.117 | 7.11 | 9.187 | 9.657 | 10.58 | 11.47 |
| Change | - | -11.58% | -18.2% | -12.41% | 29.21% | 5.12% | 9.59% | 8.42% |
| EPS 1 | -0.951 | -1.113 | 1.258 | 1.332 | 1.618 | 1.383 | 1.57 | 1.742 |
| Change | - | -17.03% | 213.03% | 5.88% | 21.47% | -14.55% | 13.55% | 10.95% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 64,37,200 | 64,37,200 | 64,37,900 | 64,39,409 | 67,22,857 | 60,81,128 | 60,81,128 | 60,81,128 |
| Announcement Date | 09/03/22 | 08/03/23 | 13/03/24 | 12/03/25 | 11/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E | 9.5x | 8.37x |
| PBR | 1.36x | 1.24x |
| EV / Sales | 0.97x | 0.92x |
| Yield | 5.1% | 6.13% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
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