Projected Income Statement: Catena AB

Forecast Balance Sheet: Catena AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 10,549 8,615 11,552 15,954 17,328 23,507 23,542 23,559
Change - -18.33% 34.09% 38.11% 8.61% 35.66% 0.15% 0.07%
Announcement Date 22/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 20/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Catena AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 998.9 1,558 2,020 2,649 1,152 850 267 271
Change - 55.97% 29.65% 31.14% -56.51% -26.22% -68.59% 1.5%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -784.4 -317 -958 -3,128 - 552 1,751 1,834
Change - 59.59% -202.21% -226.51% - - 217.21% 4.74%
Announcement Date 22/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 20/02/26 - - -
1SEK in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Catena AB

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 76.75% 76.3% 77.65% 78.93% 80.76% 81.92% 82.78% 82.87%
EBIT Margin (%) 76.57% 76.3% 79.81% 78.93% 80.76% 81.31% 87.32% 88.35%
EBT Margin (%) 242.65% 158.35% 73.84% 61.29% 77.97% 76.17% 77.93% 78.76%
Net margin (%) 194.02% 129.27% 54.54% 49.25% 62.01% 60% 58.59% 61.63%
FCF margin (%) -56.54% -20.53% -52.99% -142.64% - 17.38% 50.93% 51.69%
FCF / Net Income (%) -29.14% -15.88% -97.16% -289.63% - 28.97% 86.92% 83.87%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.7% 7.2% 3.05% 2.77% - - - -
ROE 28.6% 14.3% 5.8% 5.3% 7% 6.82% 6.36% 6.39%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 9.91x 7.31x 8.23x 9.22x 8.09x 9.03x 8.27x 8.01x
Debt / Free cash flow -13.45x -27.18x -12.06x -5.1x - 42.58x 13.45x 12.85x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 72% 100.91% 111.73% 120.79% 43.46% 26.76% 7.77% 7.64%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 93.81% 132.26% 143.87% 153.03% 53.81% 32.67% 9.38% 9.22%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -127.35% -491.48% -210.86% -84.69% - 153.99% 15.25% 14.78%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - - - - 26.09 20.33 20.23 21.46
Change - - - - - -22.08% -0.51% 6.1%
Dividend per Share 1 8 8.26 8.5 9 9.5 10.38 10.85 11.39
Change - 3.25% 2.91% 5.88% 5.56% 9.22% 4.56% 4.97%
Book Value Per Share 1 273 334.7 346.3 382.7 397.1 441.8 459.6 477.9
Change - 22.6% 3.47% 10.5% 3.78% 11.25% 4.03% 3.97%
EPS 1 66.63 44.68 19.74 19.36 - 29.63 34.19 35.61
Change - -32.94% -55.82% -1.93% - - 15.39% 4.16%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 41,227 45,349 50,212 60,360 60,360 66,396 66,396 66,396
Announcement Date 22/02/22 22/02/23 22/02/24 20/02/25 20/02/26 - - -
1SEK
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 14x 12.1x
PBR 0.94x 0.9x
EV / Sales 16.1x 14.9x
Yield 2.5% 2.61%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
7
Last Close Price
415.00SEK
Average target price
512.14SEK
Spread / Average Target
+23.41%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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