Company Valuation: BHP Group Limited

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: June 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Capitalization 1 1,69,397 1,43,842 1,51,647 1,44,369 1,22,299 2,04,231 - -
Change - -15.09% 5.43% -4.8% -15.29% 66.99% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 1,74,904 1,44,175 1,62,813 1,53,489 1,35,223 2,14,146 2,14,969 2,14,093
Change - -17.57% 12.93% -5.73% -11.9% 58.36% 0.38% -0.41%
P/E ratio 16.3x 4.66x 11.8x 18.3x 13.6x 15.6x 14.9x 15.2x
PBR 3.59x 3.2x 3.41x 3.22x 2.57x 3.72x 3.39x 3.13x
PEG - 0x -0.2x -0.5x 1x 0.3x 2.88x -7.31x
Capitalization / Revenue 2.79x 2.21x 2.82x 2.59x 2.39x 3.59x 3.64x 3.68x
EV / Revenue 2.88x 2.21x 3.03x 2.76x 2.64x 3.77x 3.83x 3.85x
EV / EBITDA 4.68x 3.55x 5.82x 5.29x 5.2x 6.75x 6.99x 7.13x
EV / EBIT 5.77x 4.19x 7.13x 6.5x 6.68x 8.32x 8.78x 9.11x
EV / FCF 8.7x 5.72x 13.6x 13x 14.5x 23.2x 21.4x 18.4x
FCF Yield 11.5% 17.5% 7.35% 7.72% 6.87% 4.31% 4.67% 5.45%
Dividend per Share 2 3.01 3.25 1.7 1.46 1.1 1.48 1.469 1.322
Rate of return 8.27% 11.4% 5.68% 5.13% 4.57% 3.68% 3.65% 3.29%
EPS 2 2.235 6.093 2.547 1.555 1.774 2.57 2.703 2.647
Distribution rate 135% 53.3% 66.7% 93.9% 62% 57.6% 54.3% 50%
Net sales 1 60,817 65,098 53,817 55,658 51,262 56,861 56,168 55,548
EBITDA 1 37,379 40,634 27,956 29,016 26,000 31,725 30,775 30,037
EBIT 1 30,291 34,400 22,820 23,631 20,240 25,741 24,490 23,506
Net income 1 11,304 30,900 12,921 7,897 9,019 12,652 13,220 12,992
Net Debt 1 5,507 333 11,166 9,120 12,924 9,915 10,737 9,862
Reference price 2 36.41 28.42 29.94 28.48 24.09 40.20 40.20 40.20
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 50,57,690 50,61,151 50,64,466 50,69,816 50,75,992 50,80,690 - -
Announcement Date 17/08/21 15/08/22 21/08/23 26/08/24 18/08/25 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
15.64x3.77x6.75x3.68% 20TCr
12.17x2.98x6.4x4.77% 17TCr
20.91x5.29x9.65x2.47% 9.52TCr
14.12x0.44x6.16x2.49% 8.69TCr
25.12x7.32x16.22x0.04% 7.39TCr
28.74x2.96x7.88x1.27% 5.39TCr
32.72x8.33x14.03x2.02% 3.78TCr
15.04x2.2x6.76x4.76% 3.32TCr
18.1x3.39x7.49x0.62% 2.91TCr
18.74x6.35x11.71x3.46% 2.7TCr
Average 20.13x 4.30x 9.30x 2.56% 8.14TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 18.04x 3.91x 8.41x 3%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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