Projected Income Statement: Baidu, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Baidu, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 -87,412 -97,017 -90,260 -1,17,454 -68,089 -73,893 -41,304 -53,218
Change - -10.99% 6.96% -30.13% 42.03% -8.52% 44.1% -28.84%
Announcement Date 17/02/21 01/03/22 22/02/23 28/02/24 18/02/25 26/02/26 - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Baidu, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 5,084 10,896 8,286 11,190 8,134 11,684 11,781 12,280
Change - 114.32% -23.95% 35.05% -27.31% 43.64% 0.83% 4.23%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 19,116 9,226 17,884 25,425 13,100 10,736 12,797 24,533
Change - -51.74% 93.84% 42.17% -48.48% -18.05% 19.2% 91.7%
Announcement Date 17/02/21 01/03/22 22/02/23 28/02/24 18/02/25 - - -
1CNY in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Baidu, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 25.69% 20.01% 23.98% 26.61% 24.85% 17.71% 18.09% 20.47%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.3% 8.45% 12.87% 16.24% 15.98% -4.51% 9.18% 10.75%
EBT Margin (%) 21.56% 8.66% 8.18% 18.72% 21.53% 5.2% 14.1% 15.89%
Net margin (%) 20.99% 8.21% 6.11% 15.09% 17.85% 4.33% 12.24% 13.22%
FCF margin (%) 17.85% 7.41% 14.46% 18.89% 9.84% 8.32% 9.54% 17.16%
FCF / Net Income (%) 85.07% 90.22% 236.59% 125.15% 55.13% 145.41% 77.96% 129.85%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.95% 5.28% 1.96% 5.09% 6.47% 3.27% 3.71% 4.06%
ROE 12.72% 9.31% 3.48% 8.7% 9.37% 3.72% 5.79% 6.33%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) - - - - - - - -
Debt / Free cash flow - - - - - - - -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.75% 8.75% 6.7% 8.31% 6.11% 9.05% 8.79% 8.59%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.49% 43.73% 27.93% 31.24% 24.59% 51.81% 48.57% 41.96%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 26.6% 118.1% 46.33% 44.01% 62.09% 108.83% 92.06% 50.05%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 70.25 57.21 75 103.2 60.71 46.43 76.88 90.44
Change - -18.57% 31.11% 37.67% -41.2% -23.52% 65.57% 17.65%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 530.4 613.4 639.3 694.3 755.9 826.9 866.2 934.1
Change - 15.65% 4.23% 8.61% 8.87% 9.39% 4.76% 7.84%
EPS 1 64.98 28.07 19.85 55.08 65.91 11.78 48.23 55.37
Change - -56.8% -29.28% 177.48% 19.66% -82.13% 168.78% 14.81%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 3,41,076 3,48,059 3,45,542 3,49,573 3,50,597 3,43,771 3,43,771 3,43,771
Announcement Date 17/02/21 01/03/22 22/02/23 28/02/24 18/02/25 26/02/26 - -
1CNY
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 77.6x 17.5x
PBR 1.02x 0.98x
EV / Sales 2.43x 1.86x
Yield - -

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
-
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
32
Last Close Price
845.92CNY
Average target price
1,213.60CNY
Spread / Average Target
+43.46%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BIDU Stock
  4. Financials Baidu, Inc.
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