Projected Income Statement: BAE Systems plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: BAE Systems plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 2,160 2,023 2,464 6,875 5,613 5,231 4,708 4,127
Change - -6.34% 21.8% 179.02% -18.36% -6.81% -10% -12.34%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: BAE Systems plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 366 599 789 990 920 1,209 1,278 1,320
Change - 63.66% 31.72% 25.48% -7.07% 31.46% 5.67% 3.25%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,864 2,146 2,593 2,505 2,158 2,133 2,589 2,930
Change - 15.13% 20.83% -3.39% -13.85% -1.15% 21.37% 13.16%
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: BAE Systems plc

Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 13.73% 13.96% 13.72% 14.51% 14.66% 14.03% 14.22% 14.11%
EBIT Margin (%) 10.35% 10.66% 10.61% 10.64% 10.83% 10.94% 11.21% 11.32%
EBT Margin (%) 9.9% 8.55% 9.2% 8.23% 8.39% 8.86% 9.21% 9.28%
Net margin (%) 8.25% 6.84% 7.34% 6.9% 6.72% 6.98% 7.43% 7.75%
FCF margin (%) 8.75% 9.23% 10.26% 8.84% 7.04% 6.42% 7.24% 7.57%
FCF / Net Income (%) 106.03% 134.88% 139.63% 128.07% 104.66% 91.95% 97.37% 97.65%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.43% 5.9% 6.03% 5.88% 5.94% 6.37% 6.94% 7.24%
ROE 29.11% 18.53% 17.6% 18.62% 19.26% 19.94% 20.77% 21.75%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.74x 0.62x 0.71x 1.67x 1.25x 1.12x 0.93x 0.76x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.16x 0.94x 0.95x 2.74x 2.6x 2.45x 1.82x 1.41x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.72% 2.58% 3.12% 3.49% 3% 3.64% 3.57% 3.41%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 12.51% 18.45% 22.74% 24.08% 20.47% 25.95% 25.12% 24.16%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 19.64% 27.91% 30.43% 39.52% 42.63% 56.7% 49.36% 45.04%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 0.7621 0.9004 1.224 1.286 1.132 0.9049 1.183 1.297
Change - 18.15% 35.94% 5.04% -11.92% -20.08% 30.75% 9.59%
Dividend per Share 1 0.251 0.27 0.3 0.33 0.363 0.3948 0.442 0.4991
Change - 7.57% 11.11% 10% 10% 8.75% 11.96% 12.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 2.333 3.644 3.456 3.855 3.932 4.202 4.599 4.982
Change - 56.18% -5.15% 11.54% 1.99% 6.86% 9.44% 8.33%
EPS 1 0.547 0.505 0.604 0.641 0.68 0.7824 0.8948 0.9981
Change - -7.68% 19.6% 6.13% 6.08% 15.06% 14.36% 11.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 31,61,416 30,70,678 30,25,615 29,83,629 29,77,003 29,85,500 29,85,500 29,85,500
Announcement Date 24/02/22 23/02/23 21/02/24 19/02/25 18/02/26 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 24.6x 21.5x
PBR 4.58x 4.19x
EV / Sales 1.89x 1.74x
Yield 2.05% 2.29%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
18
Last Close Price
19.26GBP
Average target price
23.14GBP
Spread / Average Target
+20.15%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. BA. Stock
  4. Financials BAE Systems plc