Projected Income Statement: Ayala Land, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ayala Land, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 1,94,914 2,09,125 2,42,146 2,41,188 2,60,648 2,79,001 2,89,473 2,96,815
Change - 7.29% 15.79% -0.4% 8.07% 7.04% 3.75% 2.54%
Announcement Date 24/02/21 01/03/22 06/03/23 20/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ayala Land, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 8,643 25,246 20,012 21,454 34,349 39,298 42,455 42,387
Change - 192.09% -20.73% 7.21% 60.1% 14.41% 8.03% -0.16%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 -21,151 -17,320 6,336 -94.17 -3,138 -5,783 -2,574 -517.5
Change - 18.11% 136.58% -101.49% -3,232.01% -84.3% 55.5% 79.89%
Announcement Date 24/02/21 01/03/22 06/03/23 20/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
1PHP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ayala Land, Inc.

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 39.52% 39.42% 40.51% 40.52% 38.17% 41.19% 41.34% 41.32%
EBIT Margin (%) 29.4% 32.6% 32.64% 33.99% 32.35% 34.95% 35.01% 35.42%
EBT Margin (%) 15.92% 19.71% 22.93% 25.06% 24.23% 26.1% 26.7% 27.61%
Net margin (%) 9.23% 11.88% 15.13% 16.84% 15.99% 17.33% 17.49% 18.37%
FCF margin (%) -22.37% -16.82% 5.15% -0.06% -1.78% -3.38% -1.42% -0.27%
FCF / Net Income (%) -242.36% -141.64% 34.03% -0.38% -11.11% -19.49% -8.13% -1.46%

Profitability

        
ROA 1.22% 1.67% 2.44% 3.01% 3.2% 3.63% 3.73% 3.89%
ROE 4.03% 5.37% 7.63% 9.26% 9.85% 9.57% 9.57% 9.91%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 5.22x 5.15x 4.86x 4.09x 3.87x 3.96x 3.87x 3.73x
Debt / Free cash flow -9.22x -12.07x 38.22x -2,561.12x -83.07x -48.24x -112.47x -573.53x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 9.14% 24.52% 16.26% 14.75% 19.46% 22.95% 23.47% 22%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 23.13% 62.2% 40.15% 36.39% 50.98% 55.72% 56.78% 53.23%
CAPEX / FCF (%) -40.86% -145.76% 315.83% -22,781.92% -1,094.68% -679.52% -1,649.58% -8,190.2%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 -0.8495 0.5384 1.784 1.425 2.106 2.81 2.217 3.429
Change - 163.37% 231.31% -20.11% 47.79% 33.41% -21.08% 54.62%
Dividend per Share 1 0.27 0.2718 0.28 0.38 0.4963 0.5697 0.6353 0.7258
Change - 0.67% 3.02% 35.71% 30.61% 14.79% 11.52% 14.25%
Book Value Per Share 1 15.11 15.71 16.94 18.35 20.37 21.65 23.22 24.88
Change - 3.96% 7.88% 8.31% 10.98% 6.3% 7.27% 7.13%
EPS 1 0.59 0.83 1.25 1.63 1.9 2.023 2.173 2.451
Change - 40.68% 50.6% 30.4% 16.56% 6.48% 7.4% 12.82%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,47,30,396 1,46,92,808 1,47,56,162 1,49,42,176 1,47,01,275 1,43,39,932 1,43,39,932 1,43,39,932
Announcement Date 24/02/21 01/03/22 06/03/23 20/02/24 28/02/25 - - -
1PHP
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 10.5x 9.8x
PBR 0.98x 0.92x
EV / Sales 3.41x 3.29x
Yield 2.67% 2.98%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
BBB
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
11
Last Close Price
21.30PHP
Average target price
32.87PHP
Spread / Average Target
+54.31%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ALI Stock
  4. Financials Ayala Land, Inc.