Projected Income Statement: AutoZone, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: AutoZone, Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 3,763 4,098 5,858 7,391 8,726 8,354 8,606 8,501
Change - 8.9% 42.95% 26.17% 18.06% -4.27% 3.02% -1.22%
Announcement Date 22/09/20 21/09/21 19/09/22 19/09/23 24/09/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AutoZone, Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 457.7 621.8 672.4 796.7 1,073 1,249 1,235 1,348
Change - 35.84% 8.14% 18.48% 34.65% 16.4% -1.05% 9.08%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,262 2,897 2,539 2,144 1,931 2,041 2,508 2,755
Change - 28.04% -12.36% -15.54% -9.92% 5.69% 22.84% 9.87%
Announcement Date 22/09/20 21/09/21 19/09/22 19/09/23 24/09/24 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AutoZone, Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.29% 22.91% 22.85% 22.75% 23.46% 22.57% 22.94% 22.98%
EBIT Margin (%) 19.14% 20.13% 20.12% 19.9% 20.49% 19.38% 19.85% 20.01%
EBT Margin (%) 17.55% 18.79% 18.95% 18.15% 18.05% 16.88% 17.49% 17.81%
Net margin (%) 13.72% 14.84% 14.95% 14.48% 14.4% 13.37% 13.81% 14%
FCF margin (%) 17.91% 19.8% 15.62% 12.28% 10.45% 10.78% 12.45% 12.8%
FCF / Net Income (%) 130.55% 133.47% 104.49% 84.8% 72.54% 80.59% 90.13% 91.42%

Profitability

        
ROA 14.25% 15% 16.31% 16.18% 16.06% 13.94% 14.3% 14.1%
ROE - - - - - 299.96% 44.8% 54.7%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.34x 1.22x 1.58x 1.86x 2.01x 1.95x 1.86x 1.72x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.66x 1.41x 2.31x 3.45x 4.52x 4.09x 3.43x 3.09x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 3.62% 4.25% 4.14% 4.56% 5.8% 6.59% 6.13% 6.26%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.26% 18.55% 18.11% 20.06% 24.73% 29.2% 26.73% 27.24%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 20.23% 21.46% 26.49% 37.16% 55.54% 61.17% 49.27% 48.92%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 112.9 154.3 154.9 153.9 168.7 186.8 211 241
Change - 36.7% 0.36% -0.61% 9.62% 10.7% 12.93% 14.26%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 -37.56 -85.04 -185 -243.6 -280.6 -226.8 -226.3 -179.7
Change - -126.41% -117.59% -31.65% -15.2% 19.19% 0.2% 20.61%
EPS 1 71.93 95.19 117.2 132.4 149.6 147.1 167.4 186.8
Change - 32.34% 23.11% 12.94% 12.99% -1.61% 13.77% 11.6%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 23,359 21,545 19,488 18,156 17,083 16,729 16,729 16,729
Announcement Date 22/09/20 21/09/21 19/09/22 19/09/23 24/09/24 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2025 *2026 *
P/E ratio 25.1x 22.1x
PBR -16.3x -16.3x
EV / Sales 3.71x 3.5x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
30
Last Close Price
3,696.94USD
Average target price
2,591.55USD
Spread / Average Target
-29.90%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. AZO Stock
  4. Financials AutoZone, Inc.