Projected Income Statement: AutoZone, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: AutoZone, Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,098 5,858 7,391 8,726 8,528 8,912 9,149 9,247
Change - 42.95% 26.17% 18.06% -2.27% 4.5% 2.66% 1.07%
Announcement Date 21/09/21 19/09/22 19/09/23 24/09/24 23/09/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AutoZone, Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 621.8 672.4 796.7 1,073 1,365 1,572 1,614 1,686
Change - 8.14% 18.48% 34.65% 27.28% 15.11% 2.7% 4.45%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 2,897 2,539 2,144 1,931 1,790 2,118 2,254 2,587
Change - -12.36% -15.54% -9.92% -7.32% 18.29% 6.45% 14.78%
Announcement Date 21/09/21 19/09/22 19/09/23 24/09/24 23/09/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AutoZone, Inc.

Fiscal Period: August 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 22.91% 22.85% 22.75% 23.46% 22.3% 21% 22.02% 22.18%
EBIT Margin (%) 20.13% 20.12% 19.9% 20.49% 19.06% 17.67% 18.57% 18.86%
EBT Margin (%) 18.79% 18.95% 18.15% 18.05% 16.55% 15.29% 16.35% 16.77%
Net margin (%) 14.84% 14.95% 14.48% 14.4% 13.19% 12.1% 12.95% 13.19%
FCF margin (%) 19.8% 15.62% 12.28% 10.45% 9.45% 10.3% 10.21% 10.87%
FCF / Net Income (%) 133.47% 104.49% 84.8% 72.54% 71.65% 85.11% 78.81% 82.47%

Profitability

        
ROA 15% 16.31% 16.18% 16.06% 13.68% 12.07% 12.65% 12.4%
ROE - - - - - - 90.39% 35.73%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.22x 1.58x 1.86x 2.01x 2.02x 2.06x 1.88x 1.75x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.41x 2.31x 3.45x 4.52x 4.76x 4.21x 4.06x 3.57x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 4.25% 4.14% 4.56% 5.8% 7.21% 7.64% 7.31% 7.09%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 18.55% 18.11% 20.06% 24.73% 32.33% 36.4% 33.18% 31.94%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 21.46% 26.49% 37.16% 55.54% 76.27% 74.22% 71.6% 65.16%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 154.3 154.9 153.9 168.7 183 194.1 227.8 253.6
Change - 0.36% -0.61% 9.62% 8.43% 6.1% 17.37% 11.32%
Dividend per Share 1 - - - - - - - -
Change - - - - - - - -
Book Value Per Share 1 -85.04 -185 -243.6 -280.6 -204.9 -146.5 -134.5 -73.96
Change - -117.59% -31.65% -15.2% 26.99% 28.51% 8.16% 45.01%
EPS 1 95.19 117.2 132.4 149.6 144.9 147.4 174.5 196.4
Change - 23.11% 12.94% 12.99% -3.13% 1.75% 18.4% 12.55%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 21,545 19,488 18,156 17,083 16,729 16,568 16,568 16,568
Announcement Date 21/09/21 19/09/22 19/09/23 24/09/24 23/09/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 23.6x 19.9x
PBR -24.2x -25.6x
EV / Sales 3.23x 3.02x
Yield - -
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
28
Last Close Price
3,472.66USD
Average target price
4,213.17USD
Spread / Average Target
+21.32%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. AZO Stock
  4. Financials AutoZone, Inc.