Projected Income Statement: Ashtead Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Ashtead Group plc

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 4,190 5,889 7,105 8,398 7,598 7,232 6,722 5,954
Change - 40.55% 20.65% 18.2% -9.53% -4.82% -7.05% -11.43%
Announcement Date 15/06/21 14/06/22 13/06/23 18/06/24 17/06/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Ashtead Group plc

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 410 1,671 2,504 2,705 1,606 1,284 1,881 2,180
Change - 307.64% 49.8% 8.02% -40.61% -20.05% 46.46% 15.91%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 1,382 925.7 421.5 170.6 1,316 1,713 1,642 1,650
Change - -33.01% -54.46% -59.52% 671.51% 30.14% -4.14% 0.49%
Announcement Date 15/06/21 14/06/22 13/06/23 18/06/24 17/06/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Ashtead Group plc

Fiscal Period: April 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 45.74% 45.33% 45.64% 45.06% 46.39% 45.49% 45.96% 46.38%
EBIT Margin (%) 23.79% 25.83% 27.31% 25.55% 24.9% 23.68% 24.54% 25.48%
EBT Margin (%) 18.6% 20.95% 22.3% 19.43% 18.52% 17.44% 19.53% 21.49%
Net margin (%) 13.86% 15.71% 16.73% 14.72% 14% 13.07% 14.64% 15.99%
FCF margin (%) 27.46% 14.13% 5.45% 1.99% 16.59% 20.7% 18.85% 17.74%
FCF / Net Income (%) 198.12% 89.95% 32.59% 13.55% 118.5% 158.39% 128.73% 110.96%

Profitability

        
ROA 7.04% 8.9% 10.03% 8.37% 7.43% 7.27% 8.18% 9.54%
ROE 22.35% 26.18% 30.9% 25.8% 21.83% 21.01% 22.83% 23.09%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.82x 1.98x 2.01x 2.18x 2.06x 1.92x 1.68x 1.38x
Debt / Free cash flow 3.03x 6.36x 16.86x 49.21x 5.77x 4.22x 4.09x 3.61x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 8.15% 25.52% 32.39% 31.6% 20.24% 15.51% 21.59% 23.44%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 17.82% 56.3% 70.98% 70.14% 43.63% 34.1% 46.97% 50.53%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 29.67% 180.56% 594% 1,584.99% 122.01% 74.96% 114.52% 132.1%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 3.288 2.757 1.795 1.533 3.659 6.835 7.869 8.67
Change - -16.15% -34.9% -14.61% 138.78% 86.78% 15.12% 10.19%
Dividend per Share 1 0.4215 0.658 0.793 0.8276 0.7943 0.8442 0.943 1.053
Change - 56.11% 20.52% 4.35% -4.02% 6.28% 11.7% 11.7%
Book Value Per Share 1 7.274 9.298 10.85 12.77 12.94 13.24 14.45 16.95
Change - 27.82% 16.7% 17.69% 1.31% 2.35% 9.14% 17.31%
EPS 1 1.552 2.301 2.927 2.866 2.543 2.499 3.02 3.543
Change - 48.23% 27.24% -2.08% -11.27% -1.73% 20.84% 17.31%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 4,45,910 4,42,473 4,37,493 4,36,399 4,33,125 4,15,915 4,15,915 4,15,915
Announcement Date 15/06/21 14/06/22 13/06/23 18/06/24 17/06/25 - - -
1GBP
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 21.2x 17.6x
PBR 4x 3.67x
EV / Sales 3.54x 3.3x
Yield 1.59% 1.78%
More valuation ratios * Estimated data

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AA
More Ratings
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
17
Last Close Price
53.02GBP
Average target price
58.85GBP
Spread / Average Target
+11.00%
Consensus

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. AHT Stock
  4. Financials Ashtead Group plc