Company Valuation: Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

Fiscal Period: December 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026
Capitalization 1 25,802 28,048 37,813 51,006 38,521 28,210 - -
Change - 8.7% 34.82% 34.89% -24.48% -26.77% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 33,831 37,310 46,409 59,149 45,518 37,483 37,301 37,245
Change - 10.28% 24.39% 27.45% -23.05% -17.65% -0.48% -0.15%
P/E ratio 19x 16x 14.1x 12x 11.2x 11x 10.9x 11.4x
PBR 1.36x 1.42x 1.7x 2.15x 1.54x 1.34x 1.26x 1.32x
PEG - 0.5x 0.3x 0.2x -0.7x -0.7x 6.97x -2.36x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.4x 0.44x 0.44x 0.5x 0.41x 0.32x 0.31x 0.31x
EV / Revenue 0.52x 0.58x 0.54x 0.58x 0.48x 0.43x 0.42x 0.41x
EV / EBITDA 10.8x 10.2x 9.46x 8.66x 7.33x 7.56x 7.57x 7.67x
EV / EBIT 20x 21.1x 15.5x 14x 11.2x 14x 12.9x 13.1x
EV / FCF -5.39x -11.6x 8.55x 27.4x 15.3x 19.7x 13.7x 15.1x
FCF Yield -18.6% -8.6% 11.7% 3.65% 6.52% 5.08% 7.3% 6.64%
Dividend per Share 2 1.4 1.44 1.48 1.6 1.8 2.007 2.091 2.103
Rate of return 3.02% 2.86% 2.19% 1.72% 2.49% 3.4% 3.54% 3.56%
EPS 2 2.44 3.15 4.79 7.71 6.43 5.352 5.436 5.173
Distribution rate 57.4% 45.7% 30.9% 20.8% 28% 37.5% 38.5% 40.6%
Net sales 1 64,656 64,355 85,249 1,01,848 93,935 87,698 89,813 91,682
EBITDA 1 3,138 3,660 4,907 6,830 6,207 4,955 4,929 4,854
EBIT 1 1,691 1,766 2,993 4,212 4,057 2,678 2,889 2,848
Net income 1 1,379 1,772 2,709 4,340 3,483 2,660 2,579 2,470
Net Debt 1 8,029 9,262 8,596 8,143 6,997 9,272 9,090 9,035
Reference price 2 46.35 50.41 67.59 92.85 72.22 59.00 59.00 59.00
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 5,56,686 5,56,389 5,59,441 5,49,334 5,33,381 4,78,142 - -
Announcement Date 29/01/20 26/01/21 25/01/22 26/01/23 12/03/24 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E ratio, Detailed evolution

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P/E ratio EV / Sales EV / EBITDA Yield (Y) Capi. ($)
11.02x0.43x7.56x+3.40%28.21B
19.82x3x14.14x+3.54%266B
22.9x3.21x15.78x+2.40%99.32B
19.02x1.88x11.13x+3.25%46.62B
15.03x2.32x9.46x+4.57%42.51B
16.3x2.66x12.73x+3.32%40.7B
20.7x3.92x14.63x+2.72%40.18B
71.01x11.57x47.95x+1.15%29B
23.76x2.62x14.63x+2.86%27.49B
29.34x3.93x20.55x+2.04%22.18B
Average 24.89x 3.55x 16.86x +2.92% 64.21B
Weighted average by Cap. 22.18x 3.23x 15.29x +3.15%
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Year-on-year evolution of the PER

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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