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Market Closed -
Other stock markets
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5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 27.64 SAR | +0.80% |
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0.00% | +15.99% |
| 03/05 | Mideast stocks-Gulf bourses close higher, but U.S.-Iran uncertainty caps upside | RE |
| 01/05 | Saudi liquor store runs short because of Iran war bottleneck | RE |
Projected Income Statement: Aramco
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net sales 1 | 15,01,758 | 22,66,373 | 18,56,373 | 18,01,674 | 16,71,204 | 17,29,000 | 17,86,594 | 17,35,713 |
| Change | - | 50.91% | -18.09% | -2.95% | -7.24% | 3.46% | 3.33% | -2.85% |
| EBITDA 1 | 8,57,439 | 12,35,695 | 9,65,330 | 8,77,834 | 7,99,913 | 10,49,000 | 9,51,637 | 9,71,170 |
| Change | - | 44.11% | -21.88% | -9.06% | -8.88% | 31.14% | -9.28% | 2.05% |
| EBIT 1 | 7,71,918 | 11,44,077 | 8,68,290 | 7,74,630 | 7,06,822 | 8,54,594 | 8,58,547 | 8,74,440 |
| Change | - | 48.21% | -24.11% | -10.79% | -8.75% | 20.91% | 0.46% | 1.85% |
| Interest Paid 1 | -12,058 | -8,882 | -8,186 | -10,540 | -11,091 | -10,350 | -9,300 | -8,850 |
| Earnings before Tax (EBT) 1 | 7,69,521 | 11,52,962 | 8,88,067 | 7,82,010 | 7,02,860 | 9,35,769 | 8,49,033 | 8,70,400 |
| Change | - | 49.83% | -22.98% | -11.94% | -10.12% | 33.14% | -9.27% | 2.52% |
| Net income 1 | 3,95,203 | 5,97,215 | 4,52,753 | 3,93,891 | 3,48,042 | 4,61,000 | 4,38,202 | 4,40,232 |
| Change | - | 51.12% | -24.19% | -13% | -11.64% | 32.46% | -4.95% | 0.46% |
| Announcement Date | 21/03/22 | 13/03/23 | 10/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 10/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Balance Sheet: Aramco
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Debt 1 | 1,84,269 | -1,14,118 | -93,169 | 89,462 | 68,511 | 71,948 | 1,46,721 | 51,510 |
| Change | - | -161.93% | 18.36% | 196.02% | -23.42% | 5.02% | 103.93% | -64.89% |
| Announcement Date | 21/03/22 | 13/03/23 | 10/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 10/03/26 | - | - | - |
Cash Flow Forecast: Aramco
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAPEX 1 | 1,19,645 | 1,41,161 | 1,58,308 | 1,88,890 | 1,90,444 | 1,96,928 | 1,87,439 | 1,74,654 |
| Change | - | 17.98% | 12.15% | 19.32% | 0.82% | 3.4% | -4.82% | -6.82% |
| Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 | 4,02,956 | 5,56,991 | 3,79,506 | 3,19,998 | 3,20,354 | 3,50,983 | 3,67,007 | 4,11,677 |
| Change | - | 38.23% | -31.86% | -15.68% | 0.11% | 9.56% | 4.57% | 12.17% |
| Announcement Date | 21/03/22 | 13/03/23 | 10/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 10/03/26 | - | - | - |
Forecast Financial Ratios: Aramco
| Fiscal Period: December | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Profitability | ||||||||
| EBITDA Margin (%) | 57.1% | 54.52% | 52% | 48.72% | 47.86% | 60.67% | 53.27% | 55.95% |
| EBIT Margin (%) | 51.4% | 50.48% | 46.77% | 43% | 42.29% | 49.43% | 48.05% | 50.38% |
| EBT Margin (%) | 51.24% | 50.87% | 47.84% | 43.4% | 42.06% | 54.12% | 47.52% | 50.15% |
| Net margin (%) | 26.32% | 26.35% | 24.39% | 21.86% | 20.83% | 26.66% | 24.53% | 25.36% |
| FCF margin (%) | 26.83% | 24.58% | 20.44% | 17.76% | 19.17% | 20.3% | 20.54% | 23.72% |
| FCF / Net Income (%) | 101.96% | 93.26% | 83.82% | 81.24% | 92.04% | 76.14% | 83.75% | 93.51% |
Profitability | ||||||||
| ROA | 19.39% | 25.66% | 18.22% | 16.07% | 13.99% | 17.7% | 15.15% | 15.15% |
| ROE | 37.56% | 46.62% | 30.35% | 26.32% | 23.59% | 26.85% | 25.87% | 25.35% |
Financial Health | ||||||||
| Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) | 0.21x | - | - | 0.1x | 0.09x | 0.07x | 0.15x | 0.05x |
| Debt / Free cash flow | 0.46x | - | - | 0.28x | 0.21x | 0.2x | 0.4x | 0.13x |
Capital Intensity | ||||||||
| CAPEX / Current Assets (%) | 7.97% | 6.23% | 8.53% | 10.48% | 11.4% | 11.39% | 10.49% | 10.06% |
| CAPEX / EBITDA (%) | 13.95% | 11.42% | 16.4% | 21.52% | 23.81% | 18.77% | 19.7% | 17.98% |
| CAPEX / FCF (%) | 29.69% | 25.34% | 41.71% | 59.03% | 59.45% | 56.11% | 51.07% | 42.43% |
Items per share | ||||||||
| Cash flow per share 1 | 2.16 | 2.886 | 2.223 | 2.104 | 2.112 | 2.459 | 2.279 | 2.416 |
| Change | - | 33.58% | -22.98% | -5.36% | 0.38% | 16.42% | -7.31% | 6.02% |
| Dividend per Share 1 | 1.157 | 1.191 | 1.695 | 1.776 | 1.325 | 1.549 | 1.503 | 1.556 |
| Change | - | 2.93% | 42.3% | 4.78% | -25.39% | 16.92% | -2.96% | 3.53% |
| Book Value Per Share 1 | 4.602 | 5.99 | 6.343 | 6.028 | 6.168 | 6.702 | 6.855 | 7.309 |
| Change | - | 30.15% | 5.9% | -4.96% | 2.32% | 8.66% | 2.28% | 6.61% |
| EPS 1 | 1.636 | 2.473 | 1.87 | 1.63 | 1.44 | 1.91 | 1.818 | 1.834 |
| Change | - | 51.11% | -24.38% | -12.83% | -11.66% | 32.64% | -4.81% | 0.89% |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 24,18,58,445 | 24,18,93,399 | 24,19,07,556 | 24,19,48,700 | 24,18,54,700 | 24,19,07,400 | 24,19,07,400 | 24,19,07,400 |
| Announcement Date | 21/03/22 | 13/03/23 | 10/03/24 | 04/03/25 | 10/03/26 | - | - | - |
| 2026 * | 2027 * | |
|---|---|---|
| P/E ratio | 14.5x | 15.2x |
| PBR | 4.12x | 4.03x |
| EV / Sales | 3.91x | 3.82x |
| Yield | 5.6% | 5.44% |
EPS & Dividend
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
Trader
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ESG MSCI
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Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise
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