|
Real-time Estimate
Other stock markets
|
5-day change | 1st Jan Change | ||
| 131.84 USD | +2.99% |
|
+10.67% | -9.61% |
| 11/04 | Tech Up on AI Optimism -- Tech Roundup | DJ |
| 10/04 | China warns online travel platforms against automated train ticket programmes | RE |
Company Valuation: Alibaba Group Holding Limited
Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
| Fiscal Period: March | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Capitalization 1 | 40,27,830 | 18,53,787 | 18,00,888 | 13,10,939 | 22,15,816 | 19,58,438 | - | - |
| Change | - | -53.98% | -2.85% | -27.21% | 69.03% | -11.62% | - | - |
| Enterprise Value (EV) 1 | 38,45,890 | 18,05,233 | 17,69,156 | 12,33,590 | 22,65,198 | 17,62,450 | 17,61,460 | 16,97,771 |
| Change | - | -53.06% | -2% | -30.27% | 83.63% | -22.19% | -0.06% | -3.62% |
| P/E ratio | 27.2x | 30.3x | 25.6x | 16.7x | 17.9x | 22.6x | 20.2x | 14.4x |
| PBR | 4.35x | 1.98x | 1.87x | 1.35x | 2.29x | 1.88x | 1.72x | 1.53x |
| PEG | - | -0.5x | 1.2x | 1.2x | 0.3x | -0.8x | 1.6x | 0.4x |
| Capitalization / Revenue | 5.62x | 2.17x | 2.07x | 1.39x | 2.22x | 1.91x | 1.71x | 1.54x |
| EV / Revenue | 5.36x | 2.12x | 2.04x | 1.31x | 2.27x | 1.72x | 1.54x | 1.33x |
| EV / EBITDA | 19.5x | 11.4x | 10.1x | 6.44x | 11.2x | 14.2x | 9.77x | 7.11x |
| EV / EBIT | 42.9x | 25.9x | 17.6x | 10.9x | 16.1x | 29.6x | 16.3x | 11.1x |
| EV / FCF | 20x | 18.3x | 10.3x | 7.9x | 30.7x | 32.6x | 28.4x | 16.5x |
| FCF Yield | 5% | 5.48% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 3.26% | 3.07% | 3.52% | 6.08% |
| Dividend per Share 2 | - | - | - | 12.02 | 14.34 | 7.2 | 7.591 | 7.463 |
| Rate of return | - | - | - | 2.3% | 1.49% | 0.82% | 0.87% | 0.85% |
| EPS 2 | 54.7 | 22.74 | 27.46 | 31.24 | 53.59 | 38.61 | 43.36 | 60.74 |
| Distribution rate | - | - | - | 38.5% | 26.8% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 12.3% |
| Net sales 1 | 7,17,289 | 8,53,062 | 8,68,687 | 9,41,168 | 9,96,347 | 10,26,098 | 11,44,946 | 12,72,750 |
| EBITDA 1 | 1,96,842 | 1,58,205 | 1,75,710 | 1,91,668 | 2,02,325 | 1,24,196 | 1,80,218 | 2,38,632 |
| EBIT 1 | 89,678 | 69,638 | 1,00,351 | 1,13,350 | 1,40,905 | 59,574 | 1,07,779 | 1,52,603 |
| Net income 1 | 1,50,308 | 61,959 | 72,509 | 79,741 | 1,29,470 | 89,863 | 1,04,767 | 1,36,261 |
| Net Debt 1 | -1,81,940 | -48,554 | -31,732 | -77,349 | 49,382 | -1,95,988 | -1,96,978 | -2,60,667 |
| Reference price 2 | 1,485.67 | 689.78 | 701.89 | 522.95 | 959.53 | 874.39 | 874.39 | 874.39 |
| Nbr of stocks (in thousands) | 27,11,119 | 26,87,500 | 25,65,752 | 25,06,837 | 23,09,279 | 22,39,789 | - | - |
| Announcement Date | 13/05/21 | 26/05/22 | 18/05/23 | 14/05/24 | 15/05/25 | - | - | - |
1CNY in Million2CNY
Estimates
P/E ratio, Detailed evolution
| P/E (Y) | EV / Sales (Y) | EV / EBITDA (Y) | Dividend Yield (Y) | Capi.($) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22.65x | 1.72x | 14.19x | 0.82% | 29TCr | ||
| 77.03x | 9.69x | 52.15x | -.--% | 15TCr | ||
| 9.71x | 1.45x | 6.11x | -.--% | 14TCr | ||
| 36.3x | 2.26x | 17.93x | -.--% | 9.29TCr | ||
| -20.21x | 0.97x | -28.13x | -.--% | 6.81TCr | ||
| 21.43x | 3.99x | 12.75x | 1.28% | 4.4TCr | ||
| 21.22x | 5.8x | 14.08x | - | 3.2TCr | ||
| 7.35x | 0.21x | 2.32x | 3.31% | 709.88Cr | ||
| 20.42x | 6.44x | 11.19x | 2.94% | 520.83Cr | ||
| 26.92x | 3.44x | 15.5x | -.--% | 512.97Cr | ||
| Average | 22.28x | 3.60x | 11.81x | 0.93% | 8.34TCr | |
| Weighted average by Cap. | 27.98x | 3.41x | 16.39x | 0.41% |
Y-o-Y evolution of P/E
Historical PBR trend
Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales
Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA
Year-on-year evolution of the Yield
- Stock Market
- Equities
- BABA Stock
- Valuation Alibaba Group Holding Limited
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