Company Valuation: Alcoa Corporation

Data adjusted to current consolidation scope
Fiscal Period: December 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Market Cap 1 11,148 8,045 6,068 9,761 13,884 18,148 - -
Change - -27.83% -24.58% 60.86% 42.24% 30.71% - -
Enterprise Value (EV) 1 11,136 8,489 6,991 11,168 14,735 17,923 16,463 15,122
Change - -23.76% -17.65% 59.75% 31.94% 21.64% -8.14% -8.15%
P/E Ratio 26.4x -79.8x -9.32x 145x 12x 8.71x 9.72x 9.63x
PBR 2.39x 1.59x 1.43x 1.56x 2.26x 2.2x 1.84x 1.52x
PEG - 1x -0x -1x 0x 0.1x -0.9x 9.74x
Capitalization / Revenue 0.92x 0.65x 0.58x 0.82x 1.08x 1.2x 1.18x 1.21x
EV / Revenue 0.92x 0.68x 0.66x 0.94x 1.15x 1.19x 1.07x 1.01x
EV / EBITDA 4.03x 3.82x 13x 7.03x 7.43x 5.17x 4.72x 4.29x
EV / EBIT 5.31x 5.28x -72.8x 11.8x 10.8x 6.66x 5.94x 5.62x
EV / FCF 21x 24.8x -15.9x 266x 26x 18x 9.9x 7.71x
FCF Yield 4.76% 4.03% -6.29% 0.38% 3.85% 5.56% 10.1% 13%
Dividend per Share 2 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.4 - 0.4002 0.4008 0.4094
Rate of return 0.17% 0.88% 1.18% 1.06% - 0.58% 0.58% 0.6%
EPS 2 2.26 -0.57 -3.65 0.26 4.42 7.893 7.074 7.144
Distribution rate 4.42% -70.2% -11% 154% - 5.07% 5.67% 5.73%
Net sales 1 12,152 12,451 10,551 11,895 12,831 15,081 15,328 15,006
EBITDA 1 2,763 2,224 536 1,589 1,984 3,463 3,489 3,521
EBIT 1 2,099 1,607 -96 947 1,361 2,691 2,772 2,690
Net income 1 429 -102 -651 60 1,170 1,959 1,885 2,039
Net Debt 1 -12 444 923 1,407 851 -225.2 -1,685 -3,026
Reference price 2 59.58 45.47 34.00 37.78 53.14 68.77 68.77 68.77
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,87,103 1,76,937 1,78,472 2,58,361 2,61,263 2,63,890 - -
Announcement Date 19/01/22 18/01/23 17/01/24 22/01/25 22/01/26 - - -
1USD in Million2USD
Estimates

P/E Ratio, Detailed evolution

P/E (Y) EV / Sales (Y) EV / EBITDA (Y) Dividend Yield (Y) Capi.($)
8.71x1.19x5.17x0.58% 1.81TCr
7.15x1.2x4.4x - 3.38TCr
6.52x0.68x2.67x6.18% 2.63TCr
14.53x1.06x8.24x0.56% 2.39TCr
11.78x1.05x5.94x4.95% 2.27TCr
9.36x - - 3.37% 1.21TCr
6.78x1.66x4.76x7.47% 910.92Cr
7.34x1.31x3.85x6.97% 901.42Cr
12.36x3.52x7.81x2.77% 728.18Cr
7.42x2.01x5.03x7.06% 525.38Cr
Average 9.20x 1.52x 5.32x 4.44% 1.68TCr
Weighted average by Cap. 9.28x 1.23x 5.18x 3.95%

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Historical PBR trend

Evolution Enterprise Value / Sales

Change in Enterprise Value/EBITDA

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

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