Projected Income Statement: AECOM

Forecast Balance Sheet: AECOM

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
Net Debt 1 982 1,052 - 959 1,158 1,815 1,445 845
Change - 7.13% - - 20.75% 56.74% -20.39% -41.52%
Announcement Date 15/11/21 14/11/22 13/11/23 18/11/24 18/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: AECOM

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
CAPEX 1 136.3 128.1 105.3 119.6 136.7 120 129.1 134.6
Change - -5.99% -17.8% 13.58% 14.28% -12.19% 7.58% 4.22%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 568.4 585.6 590.7 708.4 685.2 401.8 884.5 -
Change - 3.02% 0.87% 19.93% -3.27% -41.37% 120.16% -100%
Announcement Date 15/11/21 14/11/22 13/11/23 18/11/24 18/11/25 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: AECOM

Fiscal Period: September 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 6.22% 6.85% 6.7% 6.8% 7.45% 7.75% 8.12% 8.63%
EBIT Margin (%) 5.25% 5.88% 5.89% 6.12% 6.8% 7.05% 7.42% 7.92%
EBT Margin (%) 3.06% 4.19% 1.48% 4.46% 5.67% 5.93% 6.53% 7.08%
Net margin (%) 1.3% 2.36% 0.38% 2.5% 3.48% 3.87% 4.79% 5.33%
FCF margin (%) 4.26% 4.45% 4.11% 4.4% 4.25% 2.4% 5.03% -
FCF / Net Income (%) 328.21% 188.53% 1,067.56% 176.1% 121.97% 62.1% 104.93% -

Profitability

        
ROA 3.41% 3.4% 4.64% 3.45% 4.63% 4.9% - -
ROE 14.05% 19.08% 22.16% 28.06% 24.02% 28.73% 30.06% 25.41%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 1.18x 1.17x - 0.88x 0.96x 1.4x 1.01x 0.54x
Debt / Free cash flow 1.73x 1.8x - 1.35x 1.69x 4.52x 1.63x -

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 1.02% 0.97% 0.73% 0.74% 0.85% 0.72% 0.73% 0.75%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 16.42% 14.23% 10.92% 10.92% 11.36% 9.25% 9.04% 8.67%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 23.97% 21.87% 17.83% 16.88% 19.95% 29.87% 14.6% -

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 4.708 5.002 4.968 6.064 6.163 7.297 - -
Change - 6.23% -0.68% 22.08% 1.63% 18.39% - -
Dividend per Share 1 - 0.6 0.72 0.88 1.04 1.164 1.311 1.443
Change - - 20% 22.22% 18.18% 11.9% 12.65% 10.04%
Book Value Per Share 1 18.95 17.52 15.87 16.69 18.91 19.09 25.53 32.19
Change - -7.52% -9.44% 5.18% 13.33% 0.95% 33.71% 26.08%
EPS 1 1.16 2.18 0.39 2.95 4.21 4.627 6.42 7.445
Change - 87.93% -82.11% 656.41% 42.71% 9.9% 38.76% 15.97%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 1,44,062 1,39,650 1,38,727 1,34,067 1,32,446 1,29,289 1,29,289 1,29,289
Announcement Date 15/11/21 14/11/22 13/11/23 18/11/24 18/11/25 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2026 *2027 *
P/E ratio 21.8x 15.7x
PBR 5.28x 3.95x
EV / Sales 0.89x 0.82x
Yield 1.15% 1.3%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
13
Last Close Price
100.87USD
Average target price
128.25USD
Spread / Average Target
+27.14%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise