Projected Income Statement: Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.

Forecast Balance Sheet: Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
Net Debt 1 4.42 -194 861 962 1,549 1,423 1,271 1,086
Change - -4,489.14% 543.81% 11.73% 61.02% -8.13% -10.68% -14.56%
Announcement Date 19/05/22 18/05/23 16/05/24 15/05/25 21/05/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029
CAPEX 1 149.1 166.9 183.8 212.9 249.8 200 206.7 210
Change - 11.96% 10.12% 15.85% 17.29% -19.93% 3.33% 1.61%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 125.8 540.9 534.1 342 569.3 531.5 617 671
Change - 329.95% -1.25% -35.98% 66.48% -6.64% 16.09% 8.75%
Announcement Date 19/05/22 18/05/23 16/05/24 15/05/25 21/05/26 - - -
1USD in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc.

Fiscal Period: March 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 24.41% 29.43% 32.11% 30.62% 31.57% 29.67% 30.57% 31.35%
EBIT Margin (%) 14.87% 23.42% 25.47% 22.64% 20.3% 21.64% 22.95% 23.59%
EBT Margin (%) 13.85% 21.4% 23.2% 20.3% 18.35% 18.77% 20.73% 23.06%
Net margin (%) 8.29% 16.51% 17.74% 15.5% 13.98% 14.14% 15.43% 17.28%
FCF margin (%) 4.54% 17.61% 18.58% 11.77% 18.66% 15.4% 16.84% 17.21%
FCF / Net Income (%) 54.81% 106.67% 104.75% 75.96% 133.49% 108.9% 109.19% 99.56%

Profitability

        
ROA - 18.27% - 12.94% 10.41% 10.87% 11.71% 12.26%
ROE 26.8% 59.06% 51.57% 33.61% 24.9% 24.3% 27.17% 27.68%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.01x - 0.93x 1.08x 1.61x 1.39x 1.13x 0.89x
Debt / Free cash flow 0.04x - 1.61x 2.81x 2.72x 2.68x 2.06x 1.62x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.38% 5.43% 6.39% 7.33% 8.19% 5.8% 5.64% 5.39%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 22.05% 18.46% 19.92% 23.95% 25.94% 19.53% 18.46% 17.18%
CAPEX / FCF (%) 118.5% 30.86% 34.41% 62.27% 43.87% 37.63% 33.5% 31.3%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 - 8.493 - 7.437 10.44 9.335 11.16 12.3
Change - - - - 40.33% -10.55% 19.58% 10.18%
Dividend per Share 1 0.44 0.48 0.56 0.64 0.72 0.7967 0.8367 0.82
Change - 9.09% 16.67% 14.29% 12.5% 10.65% 5.02% -1.99%
Book Value Per Share 1 12.39 12.11 16.27 19.51 23.98 27.32 29.57 33.67
Change - -2.29% 34.42% 19.88% 22.93% 13.91% 8.22% 13.9%
EPS 1 3.15 6.08 6.45 5.76 5.44 6.137 7.261 9.138
Change - 93.02% 6.09% -10.7% -5.56% 12.82% 18.3% 25.85%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 71,920 81,233 77,617 77,575 77,896 76,596 76,596 76,596
Announcement Date 19/05/22 18/05/23 16/05/24 15/05/25 21/05/26 - - -
1USD
Estimates
2027 *2028 *
P/E Ratio 22x 18.6x
PBR 4.94x 4.56x
EV / Sales 3.41x 3.17x
Yield 0.59% 0.62%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
A
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
BUY
Number of Analysts
10
Last Close Price
134.95USD
Average target price
179.70USD
Spread / Average Target
+33.16%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

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