Projected Income Statement: Admiral Group plc

Forecast Balance Sheet: Admiral Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Net Debt 1 190 298 642 858 1,088 1,036 1,322 1,322
Change - 56.84% 115.44% 33.64% 26.81% -4.8% 27.61% 0%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 08/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Cash Flow Forecast: Admiral Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
CAPEX 1 43.1 69.2 101 75.9 61.7 87.55 89.05 90.5
Change - 60.56% 45.95% -24.85% -18.71% 41.9% 1.71% 1.63%
Free Cash Flow (FCF) 1 565.7 175.4 266.3 - 307.3 740.4 700 699
Change - -68.99% 51.82% - - 140.94% -5.46% -0.14%
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 08/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 - - -
1GBP in Million
Estimates

Forecast Financial Ratios: Admiral Group plc

Fiscal Period: December 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027

Profitability

        
EBITDA Margin (%) 85.7% 87.6% 57.39% 14.96% - - 12.27% -
EBIT Margin (%) 82.56% 84.84% 52.79% 13.28% 18.13% 19.05% 16.97% 17.55%
EBT Margin (%) 80.92% 83.45% 51.48% 12.7% 17.57% 18.53% 15.97% 16.02%
Net margin (%) 70.36% 116.71% 40.94% 9.7% 13.89% 14.41% 12.25% 12.01%
FCF margin (%) 75.27% 20.51% 29.23% - 6.43% 13.32% 11.83% 11.08%
FCF / Net Income (%) 106.98% 17.58% 71.39% - 46.33% 100.7% 96.51% 92.2%

Profitability

        
ROA 6.86% 12.32% 4.46% 5.08% 8.82% 8.65% 8.1% 7.62%
ROE 52% 56% 35% 36% 56.16% 52.29% 46.28% 45.78%

Financial Health

        
Leverage (Debt/EBITDA) 0.3x 0.4x 1.23x 1.64x - - 1.82x -
Debt / Free cash flow 0.34x 1.7x 2.41x - 3.54x 1.4x 1.89x 1.89x

Capital Intensity

        
CAPEX / Current Assets (%) 5.73% 8.09% 11.09% 2.18% 1.29% 1.57% 1.5% 1.43%
CAPEX / EBITDA (%) 6.69% 9.24% 19.32% 14.55% - - 12.27% -
CAPEX / FCF (%) 7.62% 39.45% 37.93% - 20.08% 11.82% 12.72% 12.95%

Items per share

        
Cash flow per share 1 2.063 0.8198 1.218 - 1.205 2.42 1.62 2.06
Change - -60.27% 48.58% - - 100.88% -33.06% 27.16%
Dividend per Share 1 1.565 2.79 1.12 1.03 1.92 2.086 1.763 2.008
Change - 78.27% -59.86% -8.04% 86.41% 8.67% -15.51% 13.93%
Book Value Per Share 1 3.82 4.694 3.151 3.251 4.473 4.686 5.257 5.901
Change - 22.87% -32.88% 3.18% 37.58% 4.77% 12.18% 12.24%
EPS 1 1.792 3.345 1.237 1.108 2.166 2.417 2.404 2.535
Change - 86.66% -63.02% -10.43% 95.49% 11.59% 0.32% 5.43%
Nbr of stocks (in thousands) 2,87,863 2,91,245 2,94,894 2,97,726 3,00,565 3,02,980 3,02,980 3,02,980
Announcement Date 04/03/21 03/03/22 08/03/23 07/03/24 06/03/25 05/03/26 - -
1GBP
Estimates
2025 2026 *
P/E ratio 13.1x 13.6x
PBR 7x 6.24x
EV / Sales 1.87x 1.9x
Yield 6.36% 5.37%

EPS & Dividend

Y-o-Y evolution of P/E

Year-on-year evolution of the Yield

Trader
Investor
Global
Quality
ESG MSCI
AAA
Sell
Consensus
Buy
Mean consensus
OUTPERFORM
Number of Analysts
15
Last Close Price
32.80GBP
Average target price
33.23GBP
Spread / Average Target
+1.30%

Quarterly revenue - Rate of surprise

  1. Stock Market
  2. Equities
  3. ADM Stock
  4. Financials Admiral Group plc
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